Thursday, May 25, 2023

对未来几年的预测以及对长期市场的一些思考: 一年之后的回顾;所有都如预测的演绎

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  1.        未来几年，纳斯达克和标准普尔将从最近的高点下跌 40-50% 。其他全球市场也将下降类似的幅度。也许熊市最终可能会在 2025 年美国总统就职典礼前后结束。但如果美国陷入内战的那种恐慌和现实，地狱才是底。 更新：纳斯达克指数在 2022 年的某个...

A check and update of the long term predictions made in February 2022 one year later：Everything playing out exactly as predicted

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  1.        Nasdaq and S&P will drop 40-50% from its recent peak over the next few years. The other global markets will also drop a simi...
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Tuesday, March 7, 2023

Long term T bond has bottomed for this cycle

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TLT is the liquid tool. Last, this, and next week are likely the best buying time. The next asset to bottom should be gold, and that would b...
Sunday, January 22, 2023

2023, the year of sideway markets

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We are likely still in a long term bear market trend. However, 2023 is probably a year of sideway stock markets, with the current market lev...
Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Close all the long positions in risky assets

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S&P 500 reached 4100 finally. If this is not the peak, it will be very close to the peak of this bear rally. There may be another bounce...
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Friday, November 4, 2022

The almost sure route for market for the rest of bear market

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 What I have predicted from October 4 as the most likely route for the rest of bear market went exactly as the market itself. But S&P ha...
Tuesday, October 4, 2022

The highly likely route for market for the rest of bear market

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Risky assets will give up most of the gain from this Monday by late next week, which is when it is a good time to buy risky assets and enjoy...
1 comment: