Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Close all the long positions in risky assets

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S&P 500 reached 4100 finally. If this is not the peak, it will be very close to the peak of this bear rally. There may be another bounce...
1 comment:
Friday, November 4, 2022

The almost sure route for market for the rest of bear market

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 What I have predicted from October 4 as the most likely route for the rest of bear market went exactly as the market itself. But S&P ha...
Tuesday, October 4, 2022

The highly likely route for market for the rest of bear market

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Risky assets will give up most of the gain from this Monday by late next week, which is when it is a good time to buy risky assets and enjoy...
1 comment:
Wednesday, June 15, 2022

An eerie feeling today

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 Markets are up today. I have a hunch that is also supported by some evidence that it could open sharply lower tomorrow and dive to a low fo...
Saturday, February 26, 2022

The predictions for the next few years and some thoughts on the longer term markets

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  A few weeks has passed since my January 20, 2022 blog about a potential bear market lasting for a few years. It is very clear by now that ...
2 comments:

对未来几年的预测以及对长期市场的一些思考

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  我 2022 年 1 月 20 日关于可能持续数年的熊市的博客以来，已经过去了几周。现在越来越清楚，全球熊市已经开始。市场已经基本完成了下跌幅度的第一个主要阶段。从这里开始可能快要出现持续几个月的曲折反弹。但下跌幅度的第二个主要阶段，尤其是纳斯达克，可能会在秋季开始。 ...
Sunday, February 20, 2022

The most likely scenario for the next couple years

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  The Winter Olympics is over and Russian gloves will be off very soon now their courtesy to the host China is no longer needed. The full sc...